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Risk averse
To:Brew Readers
As prediction markets gain popularity, HR can help dodge risky bets.
September 11, 2026View Online | Sign Up | Shop
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Presented By

Sponsor Logo: LHH

It’s Friday! Labor Day might be behind us, and with it, the unofficial end of summer…but the weather is still plenty warm enough for us to spend a few more Fridays working by the pool. 😎

In today’s edition:

🎲 Risky business

💰 Business of benefits

📖 Word of the day

—Kristen Parisi, Courtney Vinopal, Mikaela Cohen

HR STRATEGY

The age of prediction markets

a man working at a desk with a gambling chip above

Morning Brew

Prediction markets have taken center stage in recent years, with tens of billions of dollars in trading volumes taking place each month on Kalshi and Polymarket. Most popular with young men, they can be used to bet on everything, from what color Olivia Rodrigo will dye her hair, to when Mitch McConnell will resurface next. Unlike traditional gambling, prediction markets betting works more like a share system, where users bet “yes” or “no” on the likelihood of an outcome, and are paid for successful wagers.

As these platforms have gained popularity (Timothee Chalamet stars in a Kalshi TV ad), some employers have grown concerned that their employees’ use may put their business at risk. Employees at KPMG and Google, for example, allegedly used insider information to profit on these sites, the Wall Street Journal reported.

“I think prediction markets specifically pose really interesting and new risks for employers, and I think that’s really a very recent development that companies are only really coming to terms with in the last six months,” Noah Solowiejczyk, a partner at Fenwick and West and former federal prosecutor, told HR Brew. “This is a whole new type of insider trading risk.”

But people professionals can create prediction markets policies to safeguard their organizations, experts told HR Brew.

For more on how HR can help dodge risky bets as prediction markets gain popularity, keep reading here.—KP

Sponsored By LHH

Your next exit doesn’t need a whole HR department

Sponsor: LHH

Someone on your team is about to transition out. Maybe it’s restructuring or automation. Or maybe it’s just time. Regardless of the reason, you don’t have an HR business partner on standby, and everyone’s watching how you handle it.

The “survivor effect” is real: Colleagues who stay often carry anxiety, guilt, and shaky trust in leadership after the goodbye emails. The managers delivering the hard news are usually winging it without much training or backup.

LHH’s new guide, Leading Through Career Transitions: Practical Support for Real-World Businesses, shows you don’t need enterprise HR infrastructure or a big budget to get this right.

Three tiers of support scale from one departure to an entire team, matched to where people are in their careers.

Meaningful support doesn’t have to be complicated. It’s about transparency, empathy, and a plan to move forward.

Download the guide.

TOTAL REWARDS

The business of benefits

A collage showing employees taking advantage of health and wellness benefits.

Brittany Holloway-Brown, Photos: Adobe Stock

Haven, a company that runs centers incorporating childcare, workspaces, and fitness, shuts down operations for one week twice a year. These bi-annual resets, which take place in July and December, have been in place since the company was founded in 2019.

Britt Riley, Haven’s CEO and founder, said she took a page from Patagonia when considering these benefits for her staff. When she was a marketing intern with the outdoor gear company, she was struck by the positive relationship corporate leadership appeared to have with its employees.

Riley told HR Brew about how this benefit came to be, and why she believes it’s vital to Haven’s business model.

For more on why Haven shuts down twice a year, keep reading here.—CV

HR STRATEGY

What is a reduction in force?

Mixed collage of a figure patting another on the back and a storage box.

Illustration: Anna Kim, Photo: Getty Images

A reduction in force (RIF) is when a company terminates an employee or multiple employees as part of downsizing; also known as a layoff.

Why do employers conduct RIFs? RIFs are often seen as a last-resort option, stemming not from performance-based issues, but those related to an economic downturn, merger and acquisition (M&A), or reorganization.

How have RIFs evolved? In the first half of the 20th century, layoffs were seen as “a sign of corporate failure and a violation of acceptable business behavior,” wrote Louis Uchitelle in his 2006 book The Disposable American: Layoffs and Their Consequences. In the 1960s and 1970s, an increase in unionization and tighter regulations in industries like finance, transportation, and utilities also led to the creation of worker protections that made mass layoffs uncommon. This, however, would soon change.

For more on RIFs, how they’ve evolved and what they look like today, keep reading here.—MC

Sponsored By LHH

Sponsor: LHH

Think beyond the paycheck. It’s time to rethink your entire compensation strategy. Not sure where to start? You’re in luck: We teamed up with LHH to take a look at why total rewards pack such a big punch (aka why it’s so important to treat the full compensation package as one integrated system). Read more.

work perks

A desktop computer plugged into a green couch.

Francis Scialabba

Today’s top HR reads.

Stat: Employers in Massachusetts were fined over $12 million in the past year for withholding wages and workplace violations. (WBUR)

Quote: “[It’s about] recognition, reward and respect—focusing on how we respect and treat our people, and making sure that we reward them and recognize them for doing hard work,”—JD Cummings, SVP of recruiting at Raising Cane’s, on how the fast food chain’s company culture helps it recruit employees (USA Today)

Read: Workplace discrimination has gotten harder to identify under the Trump administration. (the 19th)

Bad exits are optional: No HR department? No problem. LHH’s new guide shows SMBs how to handle career transitions with dignity, supporting the people who leave and the people who stay. Get practical, right-sized support. Download the guide.*

*A message from our sponsor.

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Written by Kristen Parisi, Courtney Vinopal, and Mikaela Cohen

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From recruiting and retention to company culture and the latest in HR tech, HR Brew delivers up-to-date industry news and tips to help HR pros stay nimble in today’s fast-changing business environment.

By subscribing, you accept our Terms & Privacy Policy.

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